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Red259
4384147.4
280116.4
1718151.3
Blue146
4327126.4
5523117.6
123122.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212500200400600800259146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.35.9
137.9143.8
Auto20.9
Teleop121.3
End7.8
red by 24.9
4327
#23
126.43.9
107.6111.4
Auto17.7
Teleop97.3
End12.5
Second
4384
#12
147.46.0
123.8129.7
Auto18.0
Teleop119.0
End8.0
red by 25.0
123
#32
122.40.3
117.6117.8
Auto18.7
Teleop93.9
End11.3
Third
280
#15
116.41.0
109.6108.6
Auto15.0
Teleop91.2
End12.9
blue by 1.1
5523
#17
117.64.6
107.1111.8
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed