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Red264
4453110.4
1023186.8
5090132.2
Blue359
7174128.5
4216168.6
1188121.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3442540200400600800264359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.85.9
150.0155.9
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
red by 18.2
168.65.7
123.4129.1
Auto23.6
Teleop126.4
End21.6
Second
5090
#33
132.26.3
116.4122.7
Auto15.6
Teleop92.6
End25.5
red by 3.7
7174
#18
128.55.0
97.8102.7
Auto14.7
Teleop102.2
End13.7
Third
4453
#37
110.41.8
105.6107.4
Auto14.3
Teleop86.3
End10.9
blue by 10.6
1188
#16
121.11.4
112.8114.2
Auto15.9
Teleop96.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed