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Red300
4327126.4
6852142.0
4216168.6
Blue355
6618161.7
7174128.5
3536171.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713360100200400500600700300355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.66.5
129.1135.7
Auto23.6
Teleop126.4
End21.6
blue by 2.7
171.35.0
143.0148.0
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
Second
6852
#13
142.07.0
110.4117.4
Auto16.9
Teleop107.7
End17.9
blue by 19.7
6618
#10
161.75.9
128.2134.1
Auto16.0
Teleop118.7
End28.6
Third
4327
#23
126.40.6
111.4112.1
Auto17.7
Teleop97.3
End12.5
blue by 2.2
7174
#18
128.55.9
102.7108.7
Auto14.7
Teleop102.2
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed