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Red227
6914110.4
7225147.6
3655119.7
Blue366
1023186.8
3604156.6
4327126.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353830100200300500600700227366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.67.1
115.8122.9
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End18.0
blue by 39.2
186.84.4
159.5164.0
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
Second
3655
#29
119.70.1
124.2124.1
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End6.8
blue by 36.9
156.64.6
140.9145.5
Auto19.4
Teleop113.3
End22.7
Third
6914
#34
110.42.4
101.4103.8
Auto16.4
Teleop82.2
End13.3
blue by 15.9
4327
#23
126.42.8
112.1114.9
Auto17.7
Teleop97.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed