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Red315
4216168.6
6029123.4
5523117.6
Blue183
5263129.3
5066104.1
123122.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372580100200300400500600315183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.66.5
142.4149.0
Auto23.6
Teleop126.4
End21.6
red by 39.3
5263
#20
129.30.9
130.8130.0
Auto20.3
Teleop97.6
End10.8
Second
6029
#26
123.43.6
115.0118.7
Auto19.5
Teleop89.9
End12.0
red by 1.1
123
#32
122.43.7
117.4121.1
Auto18.7
Teleop93.9
End11.3
Third
5523
#17
117.62.4
115.1117.6
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
red by 13.5
5066
#21
104.13.1
114.5111.4
Auto15.3
Teleop86.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed