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Red398
862167.6
4216168.6
2834155.3
Blue125
1718151.3
2676110.7
3604156.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336317200400500398125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.63.4
149.0152.4
Auto23.6
Teleop126.4
End21.6
red by 12.0
156.65.0
149.9155.0
Auto19.4
Teleop113.3
End22.7
Second
862
#6
167.61.9
151.2153.1
Auto22.5
Teleop125.6
End20.4
red by 16.3
151.34.2
148.7152.9
Auto20.9
Teleop121.3
End7.8
Third
155.32.5
146.2148.7
Auto16.2
Teleop125.0
End14.6
red by 44.6
2676
#31
110.71.5
119.9118.4
Auto15.7
Teleop86.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed