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Red189
4810111.8
6528108.4
6101136.0
Blue350
1023186.8
123122.4
280116.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313640100200300400500600189350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6101
#19
136.00.9
142.6141.7
Auto16.9
Teleop100.4
End15.0
blue by 50.8
186.86.0
168.2174.2
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
Second
4810
#35
111.80.6
109.0109.7
Auto15.1
Teleop86.2
End11.8
blue by 10.5
123
#32
122.40.8
121.1122.0
Auto18.7
Teleop93.9
End11.3
Third
6528
#22
108.40.9
106.8107.6
Auto14.6
Teleop83.4
End8.5
blue by 8.0
280
#15
116.42.1
105.9107.9
Auto15.0
Teleop91.2
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed