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Red326
1718151.3
6029123.4
5205132.5
Blue320
6570122.4
3536171.3
1188121.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303318150200250350400450500326320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.30.8
152.9152.2
Auto20.9
Teleop121.3
End7.8
blue by 20.1
171.34.9
160.1165.0
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
Second
5205
#14
132.53.8
121.2125.0
Auto15.2
Teleop104.0
End14.6
red by 10.1
6570
#36
122.40.3
120.0119.7
Auto15.2
Teleop88.7
End19.3
Third
6029
#26
123.41.6
118.7120.2
Auto19.5
Teleop89.9
End12.0
red by 2.4
1188
#16
121.11.2
123.1121.9
Auto15.9
Teleop96.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed