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Red248
5523117.6
815123.5
6618161.7
Blue416
830120.3
4216168.6
4810111.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343287100200400500600248416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#10
161.74.8
151.9156.6
Auto16.0
Teleop118.7
End28.6
blue by 7.0
168.63.0
152.4155.3
Auto23.6
Teleop126.4
End21.6
Second
815
#27
123.50.7
125.8126.6
Auto16.8
Teleop95.8
End11.2
red by 3.2
830
#28
120.31.3
116.1117.4
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End13.0
Third
5523
#17
117.61.2
118.4119.6
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
red by 5.7
4810
#35
111.80.1
109.7109.8
Auto15.1
Teleop86.2
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed