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Red159
5090132.2
3655119.7
4327126.4
Blue349
5523117.6
6591112.9
1023186.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267345100200300400500600159349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#33
132.20.8
134.1133.4
Auto15.6
Teleop92.6
End25.5
blue by 54.6
186.82.8
181.7184.5
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
Second
4327
#23
126.41.3
125.0126.3
Auto17.7
Teleop97.3
End12.5
red by 8.8
5523
#17
117.62.2
119.6117.4
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
Third
3655
#29
119.70.0
121.6121.6
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End6.8
red by 6.8
6591
#24
112.90.4
112.7112.3
Auto17.9
Teleop83.6
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned