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Red110
280116.4
4810111.8
815123.5
Blue281
5263129.3
1188121.1
3875150.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254339100200300400500600110281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#27
123.51.2
126.3125.1
Auto16.8
Teleop95.8
End11.2
blue by 27.3
3875
#11
150.81.6
148.3149.9
Auto20.9
Teleop114.9
End14.2
Second
280
#15
116.42.5
112.4114.9
Auto15.0
Teleop91.2
End12.9
blue by 12.9
5263
#20
129.30.4
128.9129.3
Auto20.3
Teleop97.6
End10.8
Third
4810
#35
111.80.9
111.0112.0
Auto15.1
Teleop86.2
End11.8
blue by 9.2
1188
#16
121.10.6
122.5121.9
Auto15.9
Teleop96.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed