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Red416
3539190.6
5152173.9
5980154.0
Blue230
2771187.8
3620174.1
5501179.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3374040200600800416230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
red by 2.8
2771
#10
187.80.0
187.8187.8
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3
Second
173.90.0
173.9173.9
Auto20.2
Teleop131.6
End21.4
blue by 5.5
5501
#16
179.40.0
179.4179.4
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
Third
5980
#19
154.00.0
154.0154.0
Auto24.4
Teleop111.0
End19.2
blue by 20.1
174.10.0
174.1174.1
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6