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Red250
3539190.6
5084141.4
5501179.4
Blue217
5567177.4
5167132.5
2771187.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3763280100200500600700250217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
red by 2.8
2771
#10
187.80.0
187.8187.8
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3
Second
5501
#16
179.40.0
179.4179.4
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
red by 2.0
5567
#17
177.40.0
177.4177.4
Auto22.0
Teleop126.3
End27.9
Third
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto16.4
Teleop105.4
End18.5
red by 9.0
5167
#23
132.50.0
132.5132.5
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest odds79%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss odds28%Face the Boss odds