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Red346
3620174.1
5980154.0
858148.1
Blue248
2405145.3
5205143.8
3770168.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3423760200600800346248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.10.0
174.1174.1
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
red by 5.3
3770
#13
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto19.3
Teleop126.6
End23.7
Second
5980
#19
154.00.0
154.0154.0
Auto24.4
Teleop111.0
End19.2
red by 8.7
2405
#22
145.30.0
145.3145.3
Auto16.2
Teleop104.8
End24.8
Third
858
#20
148.10.0
148.1148.1
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
red by 4.4
143.80.0
143.8143.8
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest odds86%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds