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Red302
3875143.9
5205143.8
3534172.8
Blue291
5046174.4
2771187.8
3357218.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2474290100200300500600700302291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#18
172.80.0
172.8172.8
Auto18.4
Teleop133.2
End20.6
blue by 45.3
3357
#12
218.20.0
218.2218.2
Auto20.5
Teleop169.4
End25.2
Second
143.90.0
143.9143.9
Auto18.8
Teleop111.5
End10.3
blue by 43.9
2771
#10
187.80.0
187.8187.8
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3
Third
143.80.0
143.8143.8
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
blue by 30.7
174.40.0
174.4174.4
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest odds97%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds57%Face the Boss odds