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Red234
904140.3
5501179.4
3875143.9
Blue471
3620174.1
5205143.8
3539190.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2954060200600800234471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#16
179.40.0
179.4179.4
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
blue by 11.2
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
Second
143.90.0
143.9143.9
Auto18.8
Teleop111.5
End10.3
blue by 30.2
174.10.0
174.1174.1
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
Third
904
#5
140.30.0
140.3140.3
Auto19.5
Teleop98.0
End22.9
blue by 3.4
143.80.0
143.8143.8
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest odds98%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds48%Face the Boss odds