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Red304
3357218.2
7160125.9
7166135.2
Blue192
858148.1
3539190.6
5167132.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371313100200500600700800304192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#12
218.20.0
218.2218.2
Auto20.5
Teleop169.4
End25.2
red by 27.6
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
Second
7166
#14
135.20.0
135.2135.2
Auto16.4
Teleop103.4
End15.7
blue by 12.9
858
#20
148.10.0
148.1148.1
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
Third
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto18.8
Teleop93.7
End13.7
blue by 6.6
5167
#23
132.50.0
132.5132.5
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest odds55%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss odds18%Face the Boss odds