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Red228
5501179.4
5860140.3
858148.1
Blue291
5084141.4
3875143.9
7160125.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662870100200400500600700228291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#16
179.40.0
179.4179.4
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
red by 35.5
143.90.0
143.9143.9
Auto18.8
Teleop111.5
End10.3
Second
858
#20
148.10.0
148.1148.1
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
red by 6.7
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto16.4
Teleop105.4
End18.5
Third
5860
#24
140.30.0
140.3140.3
Auto15.8
Teleop106.3
End17.0
red by 14.4
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto18.8
Teleop93.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest odds49%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds