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Red398
3539190.6
5152173.9
5980154.0
Blue242
3357218.2
5046174.4
5860140.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3273900100200500600700800398242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
blue by 27.6
3357
#12
218.20.0
218.2218.2
Auto20.5
Teleop169.4
End25.2
Second
173.90.0
173.9173.9
Auto20.2
Teleop131.6
End21.4
blue by 0.5
174.40.0
174.4174.4
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
Third
5980
#19
154.00.0
154.0154.0
Auto24.4
Teleop111.0
End19.2
red by 13.7
5860
#24
140.30.0
140.3140.3
Auto15.8
Teleop106.3
End17.0