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Red283
6090175.8
3538196.5
4453113.0
Blue219
5843182.9
5152169.8
7256127.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361321200250300400450500550600283219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.50.1
196.6196.5
Auto23.4
Teleop153.1
End19.2
red by 13.6
182.90.1
182.8182.9
Auto27.4
Teleop138.1
End17.4
Second
175.80.7
175.1175.8
Auto21.9
Teleop127.6
End28.4
red by 6.0
169.80.0
169.8169.8
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
Third
4453
#31
113.00.3
112.7113.0
Auto13.6
Teleop87.3
End14.4
blue by 14.9
7256
#25
127.90.4
128.3127.9
Auto15.0
Teleop96.3
End14.9