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Red412
5675158.3
7187148.2
858130.9
Blue298
5462148.0
5501169.0
1940120.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370320100200400500600412298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.30.3
157.1157.4
Auto20.8
Teleop118.1
End19.3
blue by 10.8
169.00.6
167.9168.5
Auto17.6
Teleop124.6
End28.4
Second
148.20.5
146.2146.7
Auto18.5
Teleop107.6
End25.4
red by 0.2
5462
#10
148.00.3
147.4147.7
Auto18.2
Teleop107.7
End24.0
Third
858
#18
130.90.0
130.8130.8
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End8.0
red by 10.1
1940
#24
120.70.1
120.9120.8
Auto14.0
Teleop91.5
End16.1