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Red266
4967135.5
7256127.9
555997.6
Blue389
1025170.1
5462148.0
6092109.3
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653310100200300400500600266389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#22
135.50.3
134.7135.0
Auto23.0
Teleop102.0
End9.6
blue by 34.6
170.10.9
171.4170.5
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
Second
7256
#25
127.99.4
100.4109.8
Auto15.0
Teleop96.3
End14.9
blue by 20.1
5462
#10
148.08.5
113.5122.0
Auto18.2
Teleop107.7
End24.0
Third
5559
#39
97.62.2
109.7111.9
Auto14.7
Teleop75.9
End6.7
blue by 11.7
6092
#34
109.33.7
96.8100.5
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed