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Red311
7054130.4
5152169.8
1940120.7
Blue294
5675158.3
5501169.0
6425123.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31234005001,0001,500311294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.82.0
152.9155.0
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
red by 0.8
169.00.6
161.0161.6
Auto17.6
Teleop124.6
End28.4
Second
7054
#11
130.47.9
104.8112.7
Auto17.8
Teleop100.7
End14.5
blue by 27.8
158.36.1
128.9135.0
Auto20.8
Teleop118.1
End19.3
Third
1940
#24
120.70.7
117.6118.3
Auto14.0
Teleop91.5
End16.1
blue by 2.9
6425
#33
123.60.1
119.2119.1
Auto15.1
Teleop95.3
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed