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Red384
5501169.0
4381153.4
6011111.9
Blue137
1254124.1
6043135.5
6568108.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357275100200300400500600384137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.00.3
162.2162.5
Auto17.6
Teleop124.6
End28.4
red by 33.5
6043
#28
135.56.0
125.0131.0
Auto15.3
Teleop101.2
End20.8
Second
153.45.2
137.7142.9
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
red by 29.2
1254
#20
124.10.3
124.3124.6
Auto16.1
Teleop91.0
End15.0
Third
6011
#19
111.91.9
103.0104.9
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End13.6
red by 3.2
6568
#32
108.60.7
115.0114.3
Auto16.6
Teleop78.1
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed