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Red195
7054130.4
1025170.1
6580106.6
Blue409
3538196.5
4453113.0
4967135.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2983360100200400500600700195409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.10.1
169.9169.8
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
blue by 26.4
196.51.5
191.1192.6
Auto23.4
Teleop153.1
End19.2
Second
7054
#11
130.44.0
118.5122.4
Auto17.8
Teleop100.7
End14.5
blue by 5.1
4967
#22
135.50.2
136.3136.6
Auto23.0
Teleop102.0
End9.6
Third
6580
#37
106.60.9
103.9104.8
Auto14.9
Teleop83.4
End10.5
blue by 6.5
4453
#31
113.00.1
105.7105.8
Auto13.6
Teleop87.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed