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Red263
6092109.3
5623130.1
858130.9
Blue286
1025170.1
6550129.5
5194119.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443490100200300400500263286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#18
130.90.3
129.4129.2
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End8.0
blue by 39.2
170.10.4
169.1169.4
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
Second
5623
#13
130.10.9
134.7133.8
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End9.8
red by 0.6
6550
#12
129.51.0
124.7125.7
Auto13.4
Teleop105.4
End13.1
Third
6092
#34
109.32.1
107.1109.2
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End6.2
blue by 10.6
5194
#29
119.90.6
123.1123.7
Auto15.8
Teleop89.3
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed