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Red258
5161126.1
1940120.7
555997.6
Blue387
1677111.5
3538196.5
4855146.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173970100300500600258387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5161
#30
126.12.0
122.0124.0
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End12.3
blue by 70.4
196.50.2
196.9197.1
Auto23.4
Teleop153.1
End19.2
Second
1940
#24
120.70.3
122.4122.1
Auto14.0
Teleop91.5
End16.1
blue by 26.2
4855
#23
146.91.6
137.5139.0
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
Third
5559
#39
97.63.5
105.8102.4
Auto14.7
Teleop75.9
End6.7
blue by 13.9
1677
#27
111.51.1
113.6112.5
Auto16.1
Teleop89.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed