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Red272
6137102.0
6568108.6
5675158.3
Blue465
7187148.2
1025170.1
6138127.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222391100300500600700272465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.30.5
156.6157.1
Auto20.8
Teleop118.1
End19.3
blue by 11.9
170.10.3
168.8169.1
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
Second
6568
#32
108.60.4
108.2108.6
Auto16.6
Teleop78.1
End16.2
blue by 39.6
148.20.7
145.4146.2
Auto18.5
Teleop107.6
End25.4
Third
6137
#36
102.00.5
101.4102.0
Auto16.0
Teleop75.2
End10.3
blue by 25.8
6138
#16
127.80.3
127.5127.8
Auto18.3
Teleop96.1
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned