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Red407
6090175.8
3538196.5
4453113.0
Blue175
5675158.3
7187148.2
858130.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391299100200500600700407175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.50.1
196.9196.8
Auto23.4
Teleop153.1
End19.2
red by 38.3
158.30.3
157.7158.0
Auto20.8
Teleop118.1
End19.3
Second
175.80.9
171.8172.6
Auto21.9
Teleop127.6
End28.4
red by 27.6
148.20.5
147.3147.8
Auto18.5
Teleop107.6
End25.4
Third
4453
#31
113.00.4
111.3111.6
Auto13.6
Teleop87.3
End14.4
blue by 17.9
858
#18
130.90.1
130.9130.9
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End8.0