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Red343
494186.9
4003181.5
7144125.0
Blue273
3707164.4
217182.4
6193137.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386334200300500600343273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
186.90.6
185.4185.9
Auto22.2
Teleop142.1
End24.0
red by 4.5
217
#2
182.40.7
180.4181.2
Auto19.2
Teleop133.5
End29.9
Second
181.50.7
179.8180.5
Auto24.4
Teleop143.4
End14.4
red by 17.1
164.40.8
162.2163.0
Auto25.2
Teleop112.4
End28.9
Third
7144
#18
125.00.3
124.4124.7
Auto17.0
Teleop93.7
End15.3
blue by 12.6
6193
#17
137.70.2
137.3137.5
Auto17.6
Teleop103.3
End16.3