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Red432
494186.9
4003181.5
7144125.0
Blue306
3707164.4
217182.4
6193137.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383334100200300500600432306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
186.90.4
186.4186.9
Auto22.2
Teleop142.1
End24.0
red by 4.5
217
#2
182.40.6
181.7182.4
Auto19.2
Teleop133.5
End29.9
Second
181.50.5
181.0181.5
Auto24.4
Teleop143.4
End14.4
red by 17.1
164.40.7
163.7164.4
Auto25.2
Teleop112.4
End28.9
Third
7144
#18
125.00.2
124.9125.0
Auto17.0
Teleop93.7
End15.3
blue by 12.6
6193
#17
137.70.2
137.5137.7
Auto17.6
Teleop103.3
End16.3