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Red317
3534128.7
1243136.5
1504151.1
Blue214
6631116.1
5046153.4
6531106.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286295100200400500600317214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#11
151.14.7
118.5123.2
Auto17.1
Teleop113.0
End22.8
blue by 2.3
5046
#10
153.46.5
126.8133.3
Auto19.1
Teleop116.8
End17.5
Second
1243
#13
136.55.4
110.6116.0
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0
red by 20.4
6631
#24
116.110.9
103.8114.7
Auto15.0
Teleop91.0
End7.6
Third
3534
#23
128.73.2
122.1125.4
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End5.3
red by 22.2
6531
#29
106.53.1
104.4107.5
Auto13.4
Teleop86.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed