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Red398
5774120.5
4003181.5
5046153.4
Blue274
2619118.8
5533140.1
5201105.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339253100200300400500398274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.55.2
142.0147.2
Auto24.4
Teleop143.4
End14.4
red by 41.4
5533
#20
140.15.6
122.1127.7
Auto17.0
Teleop103.3
End20.8
Second
5046
#10
153.42.3
133.3135.6
Auto19.1
Teleop116.8
End17.5
red by 34.7
2619
#31
118.82.2
123.4125.6
Auto18.8
Teleop90.9
End7.8
Third
5774
#25
120.56.3
106.8113.0
Auto15.1
Teleop89.5
End16.0
red by 15.1
5201
#12
105.40.4
104.9104.5
Auto17.5
Teleop79.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed