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Red181
6085130.5
2604105.3
7192107.8
Blue223
5235126.6
710197.8
6631116.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277266150200250300350400181223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6085
#19
130.53.9
112.4116.3
Auto14.7
Teleop101.2
End14.5
red by 4.0
5235
#22
126.64.6
107.6112.2
Auto15.1
Teleop98.6
End13.9
Second
7192
#27
107.83.6
100.3103.9
Auto16.3
Teleop81.1
End12.3
blue by 8.3
6631
#24
116.15.3
114.7120.0
Auto15.0
Teleop91.0
End7.6
Third
2604
#39
105.33.9
108.9112.8
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End8.4
red by 7.5
7101
#38
97.82.9
96.199.0
Auto14.5
Teleop77.7
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed