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Red303
3707164.4
4998121.3
5235126.6
Blue284
5533140.1
494186.9
3534128.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248380100200300500600303284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.47.0
127.1134.1
Auto25.2
Teleop112.4
End28.9
blue by 22.5
494
#3
186.96.4
160.2166.6
Auto22.2
Teleop142.1
End24.0
Second
5235
#22
126.62.5
112.2114.7
Auto15.1
Teleop98.6
End13.9
blue by 13.5
5533
#20
140.14.0
127.7131.7
Auto17.0
Teleop103.3
End20.8
Third
4998
#15
121.34.3
104.9109.2
Auto16.5
Teleop92.3
End14.6
blue by 7.4
3534
#23
128.73.0
128.7131.6
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed