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Red186
6073114.6
1684148.3
710197.8
Blue386
1506167.1
4998121.3
5238131.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463460100200300400500600186386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#21
148.33.1
140.8143.9
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End18.4
blue by 18.8
167.15.3
143.9149.3
Auto20.6
Teleop127.5
End20.1
Second
6073
#33
114.62.8
111.1113.9
Auto14.1
Teleop81.9
End24.6
blue by 17.2
5238
#14
131.82.0
122.7124.8
Auto16.8
Teleop98.5
End16.1
Third
7101
#38
97.80.3
100.5100.8
Auto14.5
Teleop77.7
End10.2
blue by 23.5
4998
#15
121.33.5
111.7115.2
Auto16.5
Teleop92.3
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed