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Red397
5046153.4
314149.0
5084130.4
Blue270
5533140.1
6066106.6
1684148.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357259100200300400500600397270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#10
153.43.2
143.4146.7
Auto19.1
Teleop116.8
End17.5
red by 5.1
1684
#21
148.30.9
143.9144.8
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End18.4
Second
314
#9
149.02.5
138.1140.5
Auto23.6
Teleop106.9
End20.4
red by 8.9
5533
#20
140.10.7
132.7133.4
Auto17.0
Teleop103.3
End20.8
Third
130.44.7
116.4121.1
Auto16.0
Teleop97.0
End17.2
red by 23.8
6066
#37
106.61.4
111.7110.3
Auto13.9
Teleop84.5
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed