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Red242
1243136.5
6085130.5
1506167.1
Blue259
494186.9
5712144.2
3667133.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303327150200250350400450500242259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.14.2
149.3153.5
Auto20.6
Teleop127.5
End20.1
blue by 19.7
494
#3
186.93.7
169.2172.9
Auto22.2
Teleop142.1
End24.0
Second
1243
#13
136.52.4
129.4131.8
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0
blue by 7.7
144.23.2
132.9136.1
Auto22.1
Teleop101.3
End22.0
Third
6085
#19
130.52.5
122.2124.7
Auto14.7
Teleop101.2
End14.5
blue by 3.4
3667
#16
133.93.5
125.2128.8
Auto18.8
Teleop105.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed