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Red284
7144125.0
6548160.1
5926109.4
Blue263
4998121.3
1504151.1
710197.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803010100200400500600284263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.13.9
146.1150.0
Auto20.0
Teleop115.7
End29.5
red by 9.0
1504
#11
151.15.0
141.3146.2
Auto17.1
Teleop113.0
End22.8
Second
7144
#18
125.02.0
114.0116.0
Auto17.0
Teleop93.7
End15.3
red by 3.7
4998
#15
121.32.9
115.2118.1
Auto16.5
Teleop92.3
End14.6
Third
5926
#34
109.41.4
112.3110.9
Auto15.4
Teleop79.9
End13.7
red by 11.6
7101
#38
97.80.6
100.8100.2
Auto14.5
Teleop77.7
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed