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Red111
5201105.4
1504151.1
2604105.3
Blue565
3707164.4
1506167.1
3667133.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215396100300500600111565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#11
151.12.8
146.2149.0
Auto17.1
Teleop113.0
End22.8
blue by 16.0
167.13.2
155.8159.0
Auto20.6
Teleop127.5
End20.1
Second
5201
#12
105.40.5
104.9105.4
Auto17.5
Teleop79.9
End8.1
blue by 59.0
164.44.0
147.6151.5
Auto25.2
Teleop112.4
End28.9
Third
2604
#39
105.31.5
110.4108.9
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End8.4
blue by 28.6
3667
#16
133.90.5
130.2130.7
Auto18.8
Teleop105.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed