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Red330
314149.0
5201105.4
7144125.0
Blue194
1243136.5
2604105.3
6631116.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299290150200250350400330194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#9
149.00.8
146.4147.2
Auto23.6
Teleop106.9
End20.4
red by 12.5
1243
#13
136.51.6
134.2135.9
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0
Second
7144
#18
125.02.6
117.9120.5
Auto17.0
Teleop93.7
End15.3
red by 8.9
6631
#24
116.11.2
119.0117.7
Auto15.0
Teleop91.0
End7.6
Third
5201
#12
105.40.5
105.4104.9
Auto17.5
Teleop79.9
End8.1
red by 0.1
2604
#39
105.31.8
108.9107.2
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed