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Red288
6531106.5
1506167.1
1684148.3
Blue182
3534128.7
6635105.4
5712144.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331257100200300400500600288182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.13.5
159.0162.5
Auto20.6
Teleop127.5
End20.1
red by 22.9
144.22.1
139.3141.3
Auto22.1
Teleop101.3
End22.0
Second
1684
#21
148.31.0
146.0147.0
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End18.4
red by 19.6
3534
#23
128.70.1
129.9129.8
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End5.3
Third
6531
#29
106.52.8
111.4108.6
Auto13.4
Teleop86.7
End3.9
red by 1.1
6635
#28
105.41.2
108.2107.0
Auto11.5
Teleop86.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed