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Red277
6073114.6
3234122.8
4998121.3
Blue302
5084130.4
3534128.7
6631116.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246313100200400500277302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
#26
122.80.5
122.3122.8
Auto15.0
Teleop92.6
End19.9
blue by 7.6
130.40.9
128.9129.8
Auto16.0
Teleop97.0
End17.2
Second
4998
#15
121.30.9
120.1121.0
Auto16.5
Teleop92.3
End14.6
blue by 7.4
3534
#23
128.70.8
129.8129.0
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End5.3
Third
6073
#33
114.60.3
114.3114.6
Auto14.1
Teleop81.9
End24.6
blue by 1.5
6631
#24
116.11.6
117.7116.1
Auto15.0
Teleop91.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed