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Red401
3707164.4
217182.4
6193137.7
Blue312
1684148.3
5712144.2
1243136.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415301200500600700401312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#2
182.40.7
179.7180.4
Auto19.2
Teleop133.5
End29.9
red by 34.0
1684
#21
148.30.2
148.1148.3
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End18.4
Second
164.40.8
161.4162.2
Auto25.2
Teleop112.4
End28.9
red by 20.2
144.20.4
143.8144.2
Auto22.1
Teleop101.3
End22.0
Third
6193
#17
137.70.2
137.1137.3
Auto17.6
Teleop103.3
End16.3
red by 1.2
1243
#13
136.50.1
136.4136.5
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0