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Red227
4325165.0
4004164.1
5069120.2
Blue431
4855165.1
4967142.3
3875151.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369343200250300400450500550600227431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.00.5
164.5165.0
Auto16.7
Teleop125.2
End26.1
Level
4855
#21
165.10.5
163.5164.0
Auto18.6
Teleop119.2
End26.8
Second
164.10.5
163.6164.1
Auto18.6
Teleop126.2
End21.6
red by 12.4
3875
#19
151.70.1
151.3151.4
Auto19.8
Teleop116.6
End16.6
Third
5069
#33
120.20.2
120.0120.2
Auto16.9
Teleop87.9
End15.4
blue by 22.1
142.30.5
140.6141.2
Auto26.0
Teleop101.0
End19.7