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Red360
4967142.3
4482106.3
5316110.3
Blue115
566496.1
345895.3
7234128.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345225100300400500600360115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.30.4
135.5135.1
Auto26.0
Teleop101.0
End19.7
red by 13.5
7234
#23
128.81.4
114.4115.8
Auto18.2
Teleop93.6
End17.2
Second
5316
#39
110.31.0
110.2111.1
Auto15.7
Teleop81.4
End13.6
red by 14.3
5664
#28
96.10.9
99.298.3
Auto17.8
Teleop69.0
End8.8
Third
4482
#25
106.315.9
75.791.6
Auto15.4
Teleop88.3
End2.9
red by 11.0
3458
#30
95.30.3
104.7104.9
Auto15.1
Teleop72.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed