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Red369
5963112.3
2767228.2
566496.1
Blue381
3234128.9
4325165.0
7073101.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482960200400600800369381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228.22.8
205.4208.2
Auto27.9
Teleop156.9
End44.5
red by 63.1
165.01.7
145.0146.8
Auto16.7
Teleop125.2
End26.1
Second
5963
#27
112.30.5
117.8117.3
Auto17.4
Teleop80.2
End13.7
blue by 16.5
3234
#13
128.91.3
123.7125.0
Auto15.3
Teleop98.7
End14.4
Third
5664
#28
96.11.2
98.397.2
Auto17.8
Teleop69.0
End8.8
blue by 5.3
7073
#40
101.310.4
77.788.1
Auto15.9
Teleop80.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed