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Red211
660092.7
566496.1
3234128.9
Blue212
5194113.7
21696.9
5963112.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272268150200250300350211212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
#13
128.91.9
125.0126.9
Auto15.3
Teleop98.7
End14.4
red by 15.1
5194
#26
113.70.5
117.7117.2
Auto16.5
Teleop81.5
End18.2
Second
5664
#28
96.11.4
97.295.8
Auto17.8
Teleop69.0
End8.8
blue by 16.3
5963
#27
112.30.9
117.3116.4
Auto17.4
Teleop80.2
End13.7
Third
6600
#34
92.70.7
94.994.2
Auto13.6
Teleop70.5
End8.5
blue by 4.2
216
#16
96.91.2
88.887.5
Auto12.0
Teleop78.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed