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Red238
4967142.3
4409152.1
858138.8
Blue368
4855165.1
5470120.6
4325165.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327326250300350400450238368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4409
#10
152.11.3
146.5147.8
Auto18.0
Teleop117.0
End17.5
blue by 12.9
4855
#21
165.11.3
150.5151.8
Auto18.6
Teleop119.2
End26.8
Second
142.30.8
135.1134.3
Auto26.0
Teleop101.0
End19.7
blue by 22.8
165.02.3
146.8149.1
Auto16.7
Teleop125.2
End26.1
Third
858
#17
138.81.9
131.8133.7
Auto17.4
Teleop109.6
End14.7
red by 18.1
5470
#24
120.61.1
118.7119.8
Auto16.7
Teleop88.8
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed