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Red176
5056123.8
4967142.3
5963112.3
Blue380
6090193.9
5470120.6
6002114.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226395100300500600700800176380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.30.9
134.3133.4
Auto26.0
Teleop101.0
End19.7
blue by 51.6
193.91.1
181.0182.1
Auto24.1
Teleop140.6
End30.3
Second
5056
#14
123.80.1
113.7113.8
Auto18.3
Teleop88.9
End16.8
red by 3.2
5470
#24
120.61.2
119.8121.0
Auto16.7
Teleop88.8
End10.7
Third
5963
#27
112.31.1
116.4115.4
Auto17.4
Teleop80.2
End13.7
blue by 1.9
6002
#38
114.20.5
120.0120.5
Auto17.5
Teleop88.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed